The Future of Polling

The following article, The Future of Polling, was first published on The Black Sphere. You would get better polling results on elections these days by just flipping a coin; that is if you are relying on the “experts”. I wonder at times if pollsters are the same people asking us to, “Trust the science.” The 2020 election put the polling industry on blast, and it hasn’t recovered since. Let’s face it: pollsters don’t measure public sentiment anymore—they try to manufacture it. And when they miss the mark (as they almost always do), they shrug it off like a weather forecaster botching tomorrow’s rain. Missing the Mark—Repeatedly Remember 2020? Biden’s “basement campaign” supposedly racked up historic support of 81+ million voters. Yet, fast-forward to 2024, and Kamala Harris was about as popular as a tax audit by comparison. Nationally, pollsters claimed a Democratic landslide. Instead, we got the political tsunami with Trump riding the wave of the of the voters in demographics Harris was supposed to dominate. Even the supposed big brains like Alan Lichtman, a.k.a. “Mr. I-Predict-Elections-for-a-Living,” couldn’t figure it out. Check out this interview which captures Lichtman missing the mark. Then listen for all the excuses he gives, as...